Delaware
W-L: ( 7- 6) PR = 70.4798Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 828 H Delaware St 35-17 906 A Colorado B12 ( 3- 9, 74.6) 7-31 913 H UConn IND ( 9- 4, 74.4) 44-41 920 A Florida Intl CUSA ( 7- 6, 70.8) 38-16 1003 H We Kentucky CUSA ( 9- 4, 75.2) 24-27 1015 A Jacksonv. St CUSA (10- 5, 72.7) 25-38 1022 H Middle Tenn CUSA ( 3- 9, 66.4) 31-28 1101 A Liberty CUSA ( 4- 8, 68.4) 30-59 1108 H La Tech CUSA ( 8- 5, 75.6) 25-24 1115 A SHouston St CUSA ( 2-10, 58.8) 23-26 1122 A Wake Forest ACC ( 9- 4, 79.2) 14-52 1129 H UTEP CUSA ( 2-10, 61.8) 61-31 1217 N Louisville ACC ( 8- 6, 81.6) 20-13
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
906 A Colorado 7-31 -24 -9 -- -4.66
913 H UConn 44-41 3 1 1.67
920 A Florida Intl 38-16 22 -6 +++ 19.55
1003 H We Kentucky 24-27 -3 1 - -3.59
1015 A Jacksonv. St 25-38 -13 -8 -- -5.49
1022 H Middle Tenn 31-28 3 9 --- -6.29
1101 A Liberty 30-59 -29 -3 --- -10.79
1108 H La Tech 25-24 1 0 0.89
1115 A SHouston St 23-26 -3 6 --- -9.44
1122 A Wake Forest 14-52 -38 -14 -0.05
1129 H UTEP 61-31 30 14 0.10
1217 N Louisville 20-13 7 -11 +++ 18.08
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1022 H Middle Tenn 31-28 3 9 --- -6.29 1101 A Liberty 30-59 -29 -3 --- -10.79 1115 A SHouston St 23-26 -3 6 --- -9.44 906 A Colorado 7-31 -24 -9 -- -4.66 1015 A Jacksonv. St 25-38 -13 -8 -- -5.49 1003 H We Kentucky 24-27 -3 1 - -3.59 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 920 A Florida Intl 38-16 22 -6 +++ 19.55 1217 N Louisville 20-13 7 -11 +++ 18.08 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Colorado ( 3- 9, 74.6) 7-31 -25.34 25.88 5.26 1.06 -10.67
3 H UConn ( 9- 4, 74.4) 44-41 -25.49 25.73 -5.26 1.06 43.49
3 A Florida Intl ( 7- 6, 70.8) 38-16 -29.13 22.09 5.26 1.06 58.12
3 H We Kentucky ( 9- 4, 75.2) 24-27 -24.75 26.47 -5.26 1.06 -15.94
3 A Jacksonv. St (10- 5, 72.7) 25-38 -27.17 24.05 5.26 1.06 -11.64
3 H Middle Tenn ( 3- 9, 66.4) 31-28 -33.45 17.77 -5.26 1.06 26.58
3 A Liberty ( 4- 8, 68.4) 30-59 -31.47 19.75 5.26 1.06 -13.92
3 H La Tech ( 8- 5, 75.6) 25-24 -24.27 26.95 -5.26 1.06 46.10
3 A SHouston St ( 2-10, 58.8) 23-26 -41.12 10.10 5.26 1.06 -19.05
3 A Wake Forest ( 9- 4, 79.2) 14-52 -20.73 30.49 5.26 1.06 -8.22
3 H UTEP ( 2-10, 61.8) 61-31 -38.06 13.16 -5.26 1.06 16.79
3 N Louisville ( 8- 6, 81.6) 20-13 -18.34 32.88 -0.00 1.06 69.87
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181.51
|
winning pts = 260.9481 losing points = -79.4350
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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